Metals·Cycle Report
Price action · cycles · gold silver platinum

The cycle outlook

Market snapshot 2026-10-06
Eight-year cycle · bearish working view

Gold’s major top may be in.

Our base case is that gold has entered the declining leg of the cycle anchored at the 2022 low. In this view, weekly rallies are countertrend: they should peak earlier, fade faster and increasingly leave left-translated cycles behind.

Why this is our view

  • GLD weekly structure: declining; left translation so far.
  • 2 of the last 3 completed weekly swing cycles were left-translated.
  • GLD monthly structure: declining.
  • Gold futures are 24.9% below their highest high since the 2022 anchor.

Working thesis, not a confirmed eight-year top. See the countercase and what changes our view.

Across the metals

Futures prices & weekly cycles · end-of-day data

GoldGC=F
$4,195.00

USD / troy oz · futures

declining
Into weekly cycle12 weeks
TranslationEven
Last cycle low2026-07-13

Data 2026-10-06

Explore gold
SilverSI=F
$61.73

USD / troy oz · futures

declining
Into weekly cycle7 weeks
TranslationLeft
Last cycle low2026-08-17

Data 2026-10-06

Explore silver
$1,717.50

USD / troy oz · futures

declining
Into weekly cycle5 weeks
TranslationLeft
Last cycle low2026-08-31

Data 2026-10-06

Explore platinum

Gold, silver and platinum are quoted in US dollars per troy ounce using futures (GC=F, SI=F, PL=F), not spot quotes. The cycle counts on these cards use the same futures series. ETF-based analysis is labeled separately on each market page.

Beyond the price

Make sense of the structure.

Start with the market that interests you. Use the ratio for relative strength, and the methodology to understand what a cycle count can—and cannot—tell you.